Arthur Hayes ໃຫ້ກໍານົດເວລາຂອງລາວສໍາລັບ crypto 'mega upcycle' ຕໍ່ໄປ

ອະດີດ CEO ຂອງ BitMEX Arthur Hayes ຄາດວ່າຈະມີຄວາມສ່ຽງ, ຕະຫຼາດ crypto bull ລະຫວ່າງປະຈຸບັນແລະ 2026.

Crypto mega up-cycle

ເວົ້າເຖິງ ວາລະສານ New York (NYM,) Hayes ໄດ້ປຶກສາຫາລືກ່ຽວກັບອາຊີບຕົ້ນຂອງລາວຢູ່ທີ່ Deutsche Bank ໃນຮ່ອງກົງ, ການກໍ່ຕັ້ງ BitMEX, ແລະການກ່າວຫາຂອງລາວໂດຍກະຊວງຍຸຕິທໍາ, ໃນບັນດາຫົວຂໍ້ອື່ນໆ.

ຕະຫຼາດຂອງລາວແລະສິ່ງທີ່ຈະມາເຖິງແມ່ນຫນ້າສົນໃຈໂດຍສະເພາະ. ອະດີດ CEO BitMEX ກ່າວວ່າ, "ທຸກໆທະນາຄານກາງຈະແກ້ໄຂລາຄາພັນທະບັດຂອງລັດຖະບານພາຍໃນ 12 ຫາ 18 ເດືອນຕໍ່ໄປ."

ເຫດການນີ້ຈະເຮັດໃຫ້ເກີດ "ວົງຈອນຂະຫນາດໃຫຍ່ຕໍ່ໄປ" ສໍາລັບຊັບສິນທີ່ມີຄວາມສ່ຽງ, ເຊິ່ງລາວຄາດຄະເນວ່າຈະສິ້ນສຸດໃນປີ 2026. ໃນຈຸດນັ້ນຈະມາເຖິງການລົ້ມລົງຂອງເສດຖະກິດໃນລະດັບດຽວກັນກັບເສດຖະກິດຕົກຕໍ່າຂອງປີ 1930.

“And that’s going to lead the next mega-upcycle in all risk assets and then we’re going to have a generational collapse. And that’s my view.”

Rather than dwell on the bleakness of his last statement, Hayes spoke about making the most of the coming boom by timing his switches between different seasons to maximize gains.

“I’ll invest in deep tech and crypto that’s doing decentralization and actually living the vision of Satoshi’s white paper. And I’ll invest in complete shitcoins. Because I think I can time the market and buy a narrative and sell when the narrative is topped out.”

BitMEX’s fall

In May 2022, Hayes pleaded ມີຄວາມຜິດ to violating the U.S. Bank Secrecy Act. He paid a $10 million fine and was subject to six months of house arrest, which he served from a Miami apartment that overlooked Biscayne Bay.

Despite supposedly having restrictions on his movement, Hayes disclosed that he could exercise outdoors, attend a nearby WeWork office, and was occasionally allowed out for dinners.

Quoting various industry figures, including Nic Carter, the co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, NYM pointed out that, unlike Sam Bankman-Fried, Hayes was never accused of stealing, lying, or operating a scam business.

“He didn’t follow rules that some people say shouldn’t exist in the first place.”

Hayes and fellow co-founders Samuel Reed and Ben Delo resigned from their positions in ຕຸ​ລາ 2020. At the time, BitMEX was among the top derivative exchanges by volume but has slipped significantly due to what happened.

Today’s 24-hour volume was 373.86 $ ລ້ານ, a fraction of Binance’s $38.89 billion and, strangly, less than FTX’s $587.91 million.

Hayes said he has no plans to return as the company’s CEO but retains a board member position. Some say, behind the scenes, he remains in control.