ນັກລົງທຶນ 'ກໍາລັງປ່ຽນແປງຈຸດສຸມຂອງພວກເຂົາ,' ນັກຍຸດທະສາດການຕະຫຼາດອະທິບາຍ

ໄດ້ ຕະ​ຫຼາດ​ຫຸ້ນ is on track to take a leg lower this week as investors swerved to assess what kind of damage the Federal Reserve has already done to the economy following a series of aggressive inflation-fighting rate hikes.

“We believe that yesterday was yet another example of how investors are changing their focus… from what the Fed is going to do… to what the Fed has already done… and what their significant tightening policy will do to the economy in 2023 (now that it is finally beginning to have its real impact),” Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak, ອະທິບາຍ in a client note on Friday.

Maley’s caution comes after a two-day major downdraft in markets following the Fed’s rate decision on Wednesday.

In the past two days alone, the S&P 500 has shed more than $1.1 trillion in total market value. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down about 4% since Wednesday. Apple stock (AAPL), a market bellwether, has fallen more than 4% since mid-week.

Selling accelerated after the Fed delivered a 50 ຈຸດພື້ນຖານ interest rate hike, bringing the benchmark rate to the highest level since 2007. The central bank also surprised market watchers in two more ways.

ຫນ້າທໍາອິດ, ການຄາດຄະເນເສດຖະກິດສະບັບປັບປຸງຂອງ Fed ໄດ້ສະແດງໃຫ້ເຫັນວ່າເຈົ້າຫນ້າທີ່ເຫັນວ່າອັດຕາສູງສຸດ 5.1% ໃນປີ 2023. ນັ້ນແມ່ນຈຸດພື້ນຖານພິເສດ 50 ສູງກວ່າທີ່ພວກເຂົາຄາດຄະເນໃນເດືອນກັນຍາ.

ອັນທີສອງ, ປະທານ Fed ທ່ານ Jerome Powell ໄດ້ມີສຽງໂຫດຮ້າຍຢູ່ໃນເສັ້ນທາງນະໂຍບາຍຂອງທະນາຄານກາງຫຼາຍກ່ວາທີ່ຄາດວ່າຈະມີ.

And the dour read on holiday retail spending for November also didn’t help the increasingly fragile market sentiment.

On Thursday, the November retail sales report showed a decline of 0.6% from the prior month. Online retailers, general merchandise, and clothing stores all reported sales declines as shoppers pulled back on discretionary items amid higher prices and a slowing economy.

In light of the barrage of recent negative headlines, experts such as Miller Tabak’s Maley are bracing for a wild few final days of trading in 2022.

ເລື່ອງຍັງສືບຕໍ່

“We have been thinking that the market would either surprise people by falling in a significant way into the end of the year (like it frequently does during bear markets)… OR the rally would continue well into January of next year before it rolled back over in a substantial manner,” Maley added. “However, it’s starting to look like any surprise will involve the former… rather than the latter. The action in the stock market early next week should be the time when we get the definitive answer.”

Brian Sozzi ເປັນບັນນາທິການໃຫຍ່ແລະ anchor ຢູ່ Yahoo Finance. ຕິດຕາມ Sozzi ໃນ Twitter @BrianSozzi ແລະ LinkedIn.

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