ການແບ່ງຕະຫຼາດແບ່ງອອກ: ທະນາຄານສາທາລະນະລັດທໍາອິດໄດ້ເຊົາຫຼັງຈາກຊົ່ວໂມງໃນບິດຫຼ້າສຸດ; Fed ກອງປະຊຸມກ່ຽວກັບການປາດ

Dow Jones futures will open Sunday evening, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures, amid a divided market rally. The Federal Reserve meeting looms but it’s already shaping up to be a big week for First Republic, Credit Suisse and the banking industry.




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ຄວາມ​ພະ​ຍາ​ຍາມ​ຂອງ​ຕະ​ຫຼາດ​ຫຼັກ​ຊັບ​ແມ່ນ​ກໍາ​ລັງ​ດໍາ​ເນີນ​ການ​, ແຕ່​ວ່າ​ມີ​ຄວາມ​ແຕກ​ຕ່າງ​ກັນ​ຢ່າງ​ຈະ​ແຈ້ງ​. Nasdaq, ນໍາພາໂດຍ Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Nvidia (NVDA) ແລະ Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), surged above its 50-day and 200-day lines, even with Friday’s pullback.

Meanwhile the other indexes are being weighed down by bank and commodity stocks. The S&P 500 rose modestly, but couldn’t hold key support Friday. The Dow Jones edged lower while the Russell 2000 tumbled.

Banks remain in focus with industry giants and regulators scrambling to contain the crisis. Stocks boomed Thursday as JPMorgan Chase (JPM), ທະນາຄານອາເມລິກາ (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C) and 10 other big banks offered a lifeline to ປະເທດສາທາລະນະລັດ (FRC) while the Swiss National Bank supported ailing Swiss giant Credit Suisse (CS). But FRC stock and many other banks sold off again, with JPM stock hitting a fresh 2023 low.

Big Weekend For First Republic, Credit Suisse

This could be a big weekend for bank headlines. Financial regulators often use Saturday and Sunday to hammer out policies or rescues.

First Republic is look to raise cash via a private stock sale to other banks or private-equity firms, the New York Times reported late Friday. FRC stock, down 33% in Friday’s trade, tumbled 15% late Friday. Notably, SVB Financial’s March 8 bid to raise cash via securities sales helped trigger its final collapse. But regulators and other banks will likely be keen to avoid that.

ແຍກຕ່າງຫາກ, UBS (UBS) is in talks to buy all or some of Credit Suisse, the Financial Times reported late Friday. The Swiss lending giant’s boards are set to meet separately over the weekend. CS stock rose sharply after hours while UBS edged higher.

Meanwhile, the FDIC is open to sharing potential losses from SVB’s Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank to smooth their sale, the Financial Times reported Friday afternoon.

The Fed’s Tuesday-Wednesday policy meeting will try to balance current banking woes with fighting inflation. Fed funds futures have swung wildly over the past week, but markets currently are leaning toward a modest rate hike.

A news-driven, volatile, divided market rally attempt amid a possible banking crisis is not exactly an ideal situation. Investors should be cautious. But there’s no denying that a number of growth stocks have been flashing buy signals.

Chip Stocks Lead The Pack

ຮຸ້ນຊິບຍັງຄົງເປັນຜູ້ນໍາຕະຫຼາດທີ່ຊັດເຈນ. ກ່ຽວກັບ Semiconductor (ເປີດ), ລະບົບການທົດສອບ Aehr (AEHR), ມືຖື (MBLY), Applied Materials (AMAT), GlobalFoundries (GFS), ລະບົບພະລັງງານ Monolithic (MPWR) ແລະ STMicrolectronics (STM) ທັງໝົດແມ່ນຢູ່ໃກ້ກັບຈຸດຊື້ທີ່ອາດມີ ຫຼືການເຂົ້າກ່ອນກຳນົດ. ທັງໝົດມີເສັ້ນຄວາມແຮງທີ່ກ່ຽວຂ້ອງຢູ່ ຫຼືໃກ້ຈຸດສູງ.

Tesla (TSLA) ສືບຕໍ່ລວມ, ຖືການສະຫນັບສະຫນູນແລະປະເຊີນກັບການຕໍ່ຕ້ານໃນລະດັບທີ່ສໍາຄັນຫຼາຍ.

ພໍ່ແມ່ Pinduoduo PDD Holdings (PDD) reports earnings Monday before the open along with Foot Locker (FL). Both PDD and FL stock are near potential early entries around their 50-day lines.

ຫຸ້ນ MPWR ຢູ່ໃນ SwingTrader. Monolithic Power Systems, STMicro, Mobileye ແລະ ON ຫຼັກຊັບແມ່ນຢູ່ໃນ IBD 50. Monolithic Power, ຫຼັກຊັບ MBLY ແລະຫຼັກຊັບ AMAT ແມ່ນຢູ່ໃນ IBD Big Cap 20.

ວິດີໂອທີ່ຝັງຢູ່ໃນບົດຄວາມນີ້ໄດ້ທົບທວນຄືນການປະຕິບັດຕະຫຼາດປະຈໍາອາທິດໃນຄວາມເລິກແລະການວິເຄາະຫຼັກຊັບ AEHR, PDD ແລະ Lennar (LEN).

Dow Jones Futures ມື້ນີ້

Dow Jones futures ເປີດໃນ 6 ໂມງແລງ ET ໃນວັນອາທິດ, ພ້ອມກັບ S&P 500 ໃນອະນາຄົດແລະ Nasdaq 100 futures.

ຈື່ໄວ້ວ່າການປະຕິບັດງານຕະຫຼອດຄືນໃນ Dow futures ແລະບ່ອນອື່ນໆບໍ່ ຈຳ ເປັນຕ້ອງແປເປັນການຊື້ຂາຍຕົວຈິງໃນກອງປະຊຸມຕະຫຼາດຫຸ້ນປົກກະຕິຕໍ່ໄປ.


ເຂົ້າຮ່ວມຊ່ຽວຊານຂອງ IBD ໃນຂະນະທີ່ພວກເຂົາວິເຄາະຮຸ້ນທີ່ມີການເຄື່ອນໄຫວໃນການຊຸມນຸມຂອງຕະຫລາດຫຸ້ນໃນ IBD Live


ການເຕົ້າໂຮມຕະຫລາດຫຸ້ນ

ຕະຫຼາດຫຼັກຊັບໄດ້ມີອາທິດທີ່ຮຸນແຮງ, ເລີ່ມຕົ້ນດ້ວຍການສູນເສຍຢ່າງຫຼວງຫຼາຍໃນຕອນເຊົ້າວັນຈັນ, ກັບຄືນມາດ້ວຍການກະທໍາຂອງ whipsaw ກ່ອນທີ່ຈະສິ້ນສຸດລົງດ້ວຍການສູນເສຍຕື່ມອີກ.

ດັດຊະນີອຸດສາຫະກໍາ Dow Jones ຫຼຸດລົງ 0.2% ໃນການຊື້ຂາຍຕະຫຼາດຫຼັກຊັບໃນອາທິດທີ່ຜ່ານມາ. ແລະດັດຊະນີ S&P 500 ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 1.4%. ດັດຊະນີ Nasdaq ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 4.4%. ເຮືອນ້ອຍ Russell 2000 ສູນເສຍ 2.7% ຫຼັງຈາກການດໍານ້ໍາ 8% ໃນອາທິດກ່ອນ.

Note that the 10-year Treasury yield dived 30 basis points to 3.395%, with huge swings each day. The 10-year yield is just above the Feb. 2 intraday low of 3.33%. The two-year yield crashed 74 basis points to 3.85%, the biggest weekly drop since 1987.

ນ້ຳມັນດິບໃນອານາຄົດຂອງສະຫະລັດໄດ້ຫຼຸດລົງ 13% ມາຢູ່ທີ່ 66.74 ໂດລາຕໍ່ບາເຣວໃນອາທິດແລ້ວນີ້, ຕົກຕໍ່າສຸດໃນຮອບ 15 ເດືອນ.

ລາຄາທອງແດງໄດ້ຫຼຸດລົງ 3.3%, ແຕ່ໄດ້ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນໃນວັນພະຫັດແລະວັນສຸກ.

ETFs

ໃນບັນດາ ETFs ການຂະຫຍາຍຕົວ, Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) ໄດ້ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 0.85% ໃນອາທິດທີ່ຜ່ານມາ. iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 5.1%, ຊ່ວຍໂດຍ Microsoft, Salesforce.com (CRM) ແລະ Adobe (ADBE). ດັດຊະນີ VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 5.4%. ຫຸ້ນ AMAT, On Semiconductor ແລະ STMicroelectronics ແມ່ນການຖືຄອງ SMH.

ໂດຍສະທ້ອນເຖິງຮຸ້ນເລື່ອງທີ່ມີການຄາດຄະເນຫຼາຍຂຶ້ນ, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 7.4% ໃນອາທິດທີ່ຜ່ານມາ ແລະ ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 3.9%. ຫຼັກຊັບ Tesla ແມ່ນການຖືຄອງທີ່ສໍາຄັນໃນທົ່ວ ETFs ຂອງ Ark Invest.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) ຫຼຸດລົງ 5.7% ໃນອາທິດທີ່ຜ່ານມາ. Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) ຫຼຸດລົງ 4.9%. US Global Jets ETF (JETS) ຫຼຸດລົງ 15.6%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) ຫຼຸດລົງ 0.8%. Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) ຫຼຸດລົງ 6.9% ແລະ ກອງທຶນ Health Care Select Sector (XLV) ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 1.4%.

ຫຸ້ນທະນາຄານ

The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) slumped 5.9% to a five-month low. JPM stock, a key XLF holding, fell 5.9%, the lowest since October and just holding its 200-day line. That’s despite JPMorgan being among the best-run, well-capitalized banks. BAC stock tumbled 8.1% last week to its worst level since late 2020.

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) dived 14.3% to the lowest point since late 2020 after plunging 16% in the prior week. California-based First Republic, ພັນທະມິດຝ່າຍຕາເວັນຕົກ (WAL) ແລະ PacWest (PACW) are among KRE’s many holdings, along with larger regional names such as KeyCorp (KEY) ແລະ Comerica (CMA).

FRC stock bounced 10% Thursday on big banks’ pledges to deposit $30 billion at First Republic, but the bank stock crashed 72% for the week, ending with its worst close since 2011. That’s after diving 34% in the prior week.

First Republic extended losses late Friday on the stock sale report.

ຫຼັກຊັບ WAL ແລະ PacWest ໄດ້ຮັບການສູນເສຍປະຈໍາອາທິດຢ່າງຫຼວງຫຼາຍ, ໃນຂະນະທີ່ KeyCorp ແລະ Comerica ທັງສອງສູນເສຍ 26%.

If the crisis continues, here’s a big looming issue. While financial regulators have authority to guarantee uninsured deposits at a specific bank, they can’t guarantee uninsured deposits at all banks. Only Congress could do that. Meanwhile, lawmakers are heading toward a debt ceiling standoff.


ຫ້າຫຸ້ນທີ່ດີທີ່ສຸດຂອງຈີນເພື່ອເບິ່ງດຽວນີ້


ການຂຶ້ນອັດຕາ Fed ຫຼືບໍ່?

ວິກິດການທະນາຄານໃນປະຈຸບັນ, ກະຕຸ້ນໂດຍການເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນຂອງອັດຕາ Fed ຢ່າງໄວວາໃນປີທີ່ຜ່ານມາ, ໄດ້ຢຸດການເດີມພັນ hawkish ສໍາລັບການເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນຂອງອັດຕາເຄິ່ງຫນຶ່ງໃນວັນທີ 22 ມີນາ.

ໃນປັດຈຸບັນ, ຕະຫຼາດເຫັນວ່າມີໂອກາດ 60% ຂອງການເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນຂອງອັດຕາໄຕມາດໃນທ້າຍຂອງກອງປະຊຸມ Fed ໃນວັນພຸດ. ນັກລົງທຶນກໍາລັງວາງເດີມພັນໃນການຢຸດຊົ່ວຄາວໃນເດືອນພຶດສະພາ, ຄາດວ່າຈະມີການຕັດອັດຕາຫຼາຍຄັ້ງຫຼັງຈາກນັ້ນ.

ແຕ່ທັງຫມົດນີ້ແມ່ນຢູ່ໃນ flux. Jerome Powell ຫົວຫນ້າ Fed ແລະເພື່ອນຮ່ວມນະໂຍບາຍອາດຈະບໍ່ຮູ້ວ່າພວກເຂົາວາງແຜນທີ່ຈະເຮັດຫຍັງ.

ຜູ້ວາງນະໂຍບາຍບໍ່ຕ້ອງການທີ່ຈະຜ່ອນຄາຍອັດຕາເງິນເຟີ້, ແຕ່ແນ່ນອນພວກເຂົາບໍ່ຕ້ອງການເຮັດໃຫ້ເກີດວິກິດການທາງດ້ານການເງິນທີ່ກວ້າງຂວາງ. Federal Reserve ເປັນຜູ້ມີບົດບາດສໍາຄັນໃນລະບຽບການທາງດ້ານການເງິນແລະນະໂຍບາຍວິກິດການໃດໆ.

Even if financial stresses quickly recede, banks are likely to rein in lending. That will further slow the economy and, along with tumbling commodity prices, ease inflation pressures.

The rate hike outlook will be crucial awaiting a renewed market rally. The Federal Reserve will update economic and rate hike projections on Wednesday. Markets will pay close attention to Fed chief Powell’s comments about how the policymakers view the current situation.

On Semiconductor, also known as Onsemi, dipped 0.1% to 78.28 last week. However, ON stock is technically in range from a still-valid 77.38 buy point from a cup base cleared initially in January. ON stock also is finding support at the 10-week and 21-day lines, working on a new consolidation. A move above the March 9 high of 84.97 would offer an early entry for this EV-focused chipmaker.

Aehr Test Systems jumped 10.3% for the week to 32.25, ending just above the 21-day and 50-day lines. AEHR stock now has a new base with a 37.67 buy point. But look for early entries on this very volatile name, perhaps above Friday’s high of 33.84. On Semi is Aehr Test Systems’ top customer.

ຮຸ້ນ MBLY ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 11% ເປັນ 43.58, ຟື້ນຕົວຈາກ 50-day ແລະ retaking 21-day. ສິ່ງນັ້ນໄດ້ສະເໜີໃຫ້ມີການເຂົ້າມາຮຸກຮານສຳລັບຜູ້ຜະລິດລະບົບລົດທີ່ຂັບລົດດ້ວຍຕົນເອງ, ເຊິ່ງໄດ້ເປີດເຜີຍຕໍ່ສາທາລະນະໃນເດືອນຕຸລາ. ຫຸ້ນ Mobileye ກໍາລັງເຮັດວຽກກ່ຽວກັບການລວມຕົວໃຫມ່.

GFS stock rose 3.5% to 66.46 for the week, rebounding from the 10-week line. The chip foundry is forging a potential flat base next to prior consolidations. The potential buy point is 72.60, but investors could use 68.70 as an early entry, clearing the bulk of recent action.

ຮຸ້ນ AMAT ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນ 7.2% ໄປຢູ່ທີ່ 122.60, ເພີ່ມຂຶ້ນຈາກເສັ້ນ 50 ມື້ໃນດ້ານຂຶ້ນ, ຢູ່ນອກອາທິດ. ຮຸ້ນແມ່ນຕໍ່າກວ່າ 125.02 ຈຸດຊື້ພື້ນຖານ, ແຕ່ສາມາດປະຕິບັດໄດ້ຢູ່ຂ້າງເທິງ 121.50.

MPWR stock gained nearly 2% to 488.31 last week, rebounding Monday from the 10-week line and ending the week just above the 21-day line. Monolithic Power stock has a 530.75 cup-with-handle buy point, according to MarketSmith analysis. Investors could use Friday’s high of 503.92 as an early entry.

STM stock dipped 0.5% to 48.03 in the past week, bouncing from the 50-day line on Thursday, trading just above the 21-day line. Shares have traded tightly in the past few weeks. STM stock has a 50.90 buy point from a long cup-with-handle base. Investors might see an early entry around 50 especially if there is a renewed market rally.


Tesla Vs. BYD: EV Giants Vie For Crown, ແຕ່ອັນໃດແມ່ນການຊື້ທີ່ດີກວ່າ?


Tesla ຫຸ້ນ

As Tesla stock rose 3.9% to 180.13 for the week, it continued to forge a bottoming base after a powerful run in January to mid-February. The EV giant is trading with key moving averages in play. TSLA stock found support at the 50-day line on Monday, but is facing short-term resistance at the 21-day line. Above that is the 200-day moving average, which has come down to almost coincide with the potential 217.75 buy point. A decisive move above the 200-day line would offer a buy signal. But a rejection at that level could be a shorting opportunity.

STMicro and On Semiconductor are Tesla suppliers, but the EV giant said recently that it aims to slash silicon carbide chip use in its next-generation vehicle platform.

ການວິເຄາະການລວບລວມຕະຫລາດ

ຕະຫຼາດຫຼັກຊັບບໍ່ພຽງແຕ່ແບ່ງອອກ, ມັນເປັນຕະຫຼາດ Jekyll ແລະ Hyde.

The Nasdaq composite looks relatively healthy, moving strongly last week to reclaim all the key moving averages. Many techs have shown impressive strength or resilience in the past couple of weeks.

But the other indexes are below all the moving averages. The S&P 500, bolstered by tech giants, did rise modestly last week, but couldn’t hold its 200-day line. The Dow and especially the Russell 2000 lost ground, trading near 2023 lows.

ຮຸ້ນການຂະຫຍາຍຕົວຈໍານວນຫນຶ່ງແມ່ນຢູ່ໄກ, ໂດຍສະເພາະ titans ເຕັກໂນໂລຊີແລະ chip ຫຼິ້ນ, ແຕ່ຍັງເປັນຊື່ຊອບແວຈໍານວນຫນ້ອຍ. ຜູ້ຜະລິດເຮືອນແລະຜູ້ຜະລິດຜະລິດຕະພັນທາງການແພດຈໍານວນຫນຶ່ງຍັງປະຕິບັດໄດ້ດີ. ແຕ່ການນໍາພາແມ່ນແຄບ.

ໃນທີ່ສຸດ, ການຊຸມນຸມຕະຫຼາດທີ່ແບ່ງແຍກບໍ່ສາມາດຢືນຢູ່ໄດ້. ຖ້າວິກິດການທະນາຄານຫລຸດລົງ, ການຂະຫຍາຍຕົວທີ່ນໍາພາການຂະຫຍາຍຕົວອາດຈະຖືກຍຶດ. ແຕ່ຖ້າຫາກວ່າ woes ທະນາຄານແຜ່ຂະຫຍາຍ, ມັນເປັນການຍາກທີ່ຈະເຫັນ Nasdaq ແລະຜູ້ນໍາການຂະຫຍາຍຕົວເຮັດໃຫ້ເສັ້ນທາງກ້າວໄປຂ້າງຫນ້າ.

Depending on the weekend headlines, stocks and Treasury yields could soar or plunge at Monday’s open. The Fed rate hike decision and outlook will also have a huge impact. Ultimately, it’s not the news that matters, but the reaction to the news. But there is a lot of news swirling.

Nasdaq ແລະ S&P 500 ສາມາດຢືນຢັນຄວາມພະຍາຍາມຂອງຕະຫຼາດທີ່ມີມື້ຕິດຕາມໃນອາທິດທີ່ຈະມາເຖິງນີ້. ແຕ່ການຢືນຢັນແນວໂນ້ມຂອງຕະຫຼາດບໍ່ປະສົບຜົນສໍາເລັດສະເຫມີ.


ເວລາຕະຫຼາດດ້ວຍຍຸດທະສາດການຕະຫຼາດ ETF ຂອງ IBD


ສິ່ງທີ່ຕ້ອງເຮັດໃນປັດຈຸບັນ

ຕະຫຼາດຫຼັກຊັບຍັງຢູ່ໃນການແກ້ໄຂ, ເຖິງແມ່ນວ່າ Nasdaq ແລະຮຸ້ນທີ່ເຕີບໂຕໄດ້ສະແດງໃຫ້ເຫັນເຖິງການປະຕິບັດທີ່ມີທ່າແຮງໃນອາທິດທີ່ຜ່ານມາ.

ນັກລົງທຶນສາມາດພະຍາຍາມຫຼິ້ນບາງຮຸ້ນທີ່ກະພິບສັນຍານການຊື້, ແຕ່ຄວາມສ່ຽງຍັງຄົງສູງ. ຮັກສາຄວາມສະຫວ່າງຂອງທ່ານລໍຖ້າການຊຸມນຸມຕະຫຼາດໃຫມ່.

There’s a strong case to still be on the sidelines, waiting for a follow-through day. Even then, investors should move in gradually, especially with the bank crisis hanging over financial markets.

But investors need to be ready for a renewed market rally. Many stocks are on the cusp of buy points, or could be with a few good days. So it’s an important time to be preparing by working on your watchlists.

ອ່ານຮູບພາບໃຫຍ່ທຸກໆມື້ເພື່ອໃຫ້ສອດຄ່ອງກັບທິດທາງຂອງຕະຫຼາດແລະບັນດາຮຸ້ນແລະຂະ ແໜງ ການທີ່ ນຳ ໜ້າ.

ກະລຸນາຕິດຕາມ Ed Carson ໃນ Twitter ທີ່ @IBD_ECarson ສຳ ລັບການປັບປຸງຕະຫຼາດຫຸ້ນແລະອື່ນໆ.

ທ່ານອາດຈະມັກ:

ເປັນຫຍັງເຄື່ອງມື IBD ນີ້ເຮັດໃຫ້ງ່າຍຂື້ນໃນການຄົ້ນຫາຫຸ້ນ ສຳ ລັບຍອດນິຍົມ

ຫຼັກຊັບການເຕີບໂຕທີ່ດີທີ່ສຸດທີ່ຈະຊື້ແລະເບິ່ງ

IBD Digital: ປົດລLອກລາຍຊື່ຮຸ້ນທີ່ນິຍົມຂອງ IBD, ເຄື່ອງມືແລະການວິເຄາະໃນມື້ນີ້

Source: https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/divided-market-rally-awaits-fed-meeting-first-republic-bank-dives/?src=A00220&yptr=yahoo